Future of Education - radical changes coming. Major rethink about how to prepare children and students for the next 30-50 years. Trends in High School education, Colleges, Universities, Business Schools and Post-Graduate Education. Keynote speaker

The COVID pandemic forced major changes in education, some of which will endure.  Over the next three decades, education will start younger in many nations than today.  Education outside the home for 3-5 year olds increased by 10% to 85% in OECD nations in the decade to 2016.  This will be driven by two-career parents, and by research showing how important early learning is to later success.

School and college is all about preparing a new generation for their own future. In many cases, we will be educating for jobs that have yet to be invented, but most teaching is locked into the past, training for tasks that no longer exist. 

Take examinations: how absurd to force young people to scribe indelible symbols onto pieces of paper, and to lock them into rooms without access to their digital brains. Cambridge University is considering allowing students to write exam papers on laptops, partly because examiners can’t read their terrible handwriting. Many other Universities have already started giving permission to write exams answers on computers if people have a disability which means that writing is difficult or impossible.  Yet handwriting in exams will still be the dominant mechanism for proving student knowledge by the year 2030 in almost every part of the world. Work means using keyboards, not pen and ink.

Read more: Future of Education - radical changes coming. Major rethink about how to prepare children and students for the next 30-50 years. Trends in High School education, Colleges, Universities, Business Schools and Post-Graduate Education. Keynote speaker

 

Future of Retail in Emerging Markets - Asia, Latin America, Africa - boom of chains and informal retailers - retail trends keynote speaker

From Uganda to Congo, India to Vietnam, we will continue to see an almost identical retail experience. Despite all the above, almost all shops in the whole world will continue to be the roughly the size of a single shipping container – never much wider or deeper or higher. One outlet next to another for mile after mile.

Such shops, typically with brick walls and tin roofs, are often living rooms of families who own them, and bedrooms at night. Lit by a single light bulb, such stores have an almost identical range of products as ten or twenty other similar shops within a few hundred metres. We see clusters of clothes shops, clusters of metal working shops, clusters of furniture shops. The most important rule in retail location has always been co-opetition. And this will be as true in the slums of a megacity as on the streets of Paris or New York. Jewellers will continue to cluster, fish sellers will cluster. Retail clustering will dominate physical retail globally for the next 100 years.

Malls will take off in all emerging markets. At the same time, expect growth in top-down mass-retailing in emerging markets, despite e-commerce. Big companies will invade a completely new area where there has never been a single store a fraction of the size before. The first mall in a new area will usually be relatively informal, not air-conditioned, housing smaller shops. And then premium malls will follow, identical in many ways to malls in Europe, Singapore, Beijing and North America.

Read more: Future of Retail in Emerging Markets - Asia, Latin America, Africa - boom of chains and informal retailers - retail trends keynote speaker

   

Are robots really about to take over the world? Why sales of robots have grown slowly. Future of AI / Artificial intelligence. Impact of robots and automation on jobs / unemployment and economic growth - keynote speaker

Despite all the talk of robots taking over most menial jobs and putting tens of millions out of work, the growth of robots in factories has been slow – up from 92,000 to a mere 387,000 a year from 2000 to 2017. A third of that increase was in 2017. Compare this to growth of smartphones, for instance, and the pace is still snail-like. Sales of such robots are likely to increase by around 10-15% a year – mostly confined to the auto industry, which owns most robots in America. Robots will become cheaper and more intelligent, but smaller models will still cost over $20,000 each in 2020.

Expect rapid growth in military robots – with tens of thousands of drones owned by the Pentagon alone, raising the prospect of swarms of small, semi-autonomous flying robots being thrown into the air above a major battle zone. “Suicide drones” will soon be available on the open market, able to fly 80 miles an hour, to detonate explosives at any target 40 miles away.

Read more: Are robots really about to take over the world? Why sales of robots have grown slowly. Future of AI / Artificial intelligence. Impact of robots and automation on jobs / unemployment and economic growth - keynote speaker

   

Future of Global Trade, Logistics and Supply Chain Management- scandal of empty containers and boom in regional trade v global. Reducing supply chain risks and disruptions from global events - keynote speaker

Moving a container 150km by lorry from Birmingham to Southampton costs the same as moving the same container 10,000km by sea from Southampton to Beijing. It is cheaper to transport melons from Istanbul to Naples than to drive melons from a village up in the Italian mountains, to the same market.  This overwhelmingly huge difference in freight costs will be one of the single greatest drivers of future global trade, despite increased energy costs. It is the primary reason why global trade has grown at twice the rate of global production over the last 30 years.

Look out for trade growth in Latin America and Africa – both of which have huge manufacturing potential close to the sea. Areas with major container ports will on average grow up to 40% faster over the next three decades than cities, regions or nations that are landlocked.

Expect over $28 trillion a year of global trade by 2030, up from more than $18 trillion in 2019. Global trade will continue to grow around 25-35% faster on average than the entire global economy. For two decades, the use of shipping containers grew twice as fast as international trade, as companies seized the opportunity to be more efficient. But the container revolution is now complete, and so the growth difference will ease.

Read more: Future of Global Trade, Logistics and Supply Chain Management- scandal of empty containers and boom in regional trade v global. Reducing supply chain risks and disruptions from global events - keynote speaker

   

Future of Fashion Industry, clothing and textiles - and why Maie fashion will continue to change slowly, while female fashion will become more diverse and ethical: wages, factory conditions and environment / sustainability. Keynote speaker

The fashion industry has always been about tribes: what kind of person do you want to be? With whom are you identifying by the way you dress?  Expect hundreds more highly influential 16- or 17-year-olds, each with several million social network followers who read their blogs or tweets or watch their videos, to follow suit.

The fashion and textiles industries are worth over $1.8 trillion, growing 5% a year, employing 75 million people. At present 50% of global growth in apparel sales is in China, which has overtaken the US as the largest market. But prices globally have been falling in real terms for two decades, and will continue to do so as scale increases.

In the US, the industry employs 4 million people, in 280,000 outlets for clothes and shoes. I met an American cotton manufacturer recently who makes 1,400 pairs of socks every minute. Fashion is worth over $40bn a year to the UK economy, employing over 800,000 people – more than telcos, car manufacturing and publishing combined.

Read more: Future of Fashion Industry, clothing and textiles - and why Maie fashion will continue to change slowly, while female fashion will become more diverse and ethical: wages, factory conditions and environment / sustainability. Keynote speaker

   

Future of War: defence spending by superpowers, hybrid conflicts, space weapons, new nuclear risks, automated weapons, robot fighters and future of arms industry. Assymetric threats and terrorism, dealing with failed states

More than $1.8 trillion is spent every year on weapons and other defence costs, or 2.5% of global GDP, down from 4% in the last days of the Cold War, equivalent to $250 per person on earth. Combined sales of the largest 100 arms companies is around $320bn a year.

However, 40% of all global military spending is by one nation alone: America, which burns up more in this way than the next 15 highest-spending nations combined. This is a truly spectacular imbalance of military fire-power, and will be unsustainable in the longer term, as we will see. Next is China with 9.5% of global military spending, followed by Russia at 5.2%, UK 3.5% and Japan 3.4%.

America needs to spend just 3% of GDP on arms to achieve such dominance – compared to Russia, which today spends 4% of a much smaller economy, China 2%, India 2%, UK 2%, France 2%, Israel 6%, Saudi Arabia 9% and Oman 12%.

This relentless build-up of ultra-powerful weaponry will continue to feed tension, resentment and fear over the next two decades. America’s army, navy and air force will be dominant globally for the next 15‒20 years, despite rapidly increasing military budgets in Russia and China.

Read more: Future of War: defence spending by superpowers, hybrid conflicts, space weapons, new nuclear risks, automated weapons, robot fighters and future of arms industry. Assymetric threats and terrorism, dealing with failed states

   

The Future of Russia - and it's 160 tribes. Russia's past is key to it's future. Economy, foreign policy, future relationship with EU and America -geopolitical keynote speaker

Western Europe’s future stability and well-being will depend on many factors, but among the most important will be peaceful co-existence with Russia, all the more important with all the recent tensions.

Russia will remain strongly nationalistic, as a mega-tribe of 160 different ethnic tribes, 140 million citizens spread across 11.5 time zones. Russia is a nation that has been forged by hardship and comradeship in adversity. Siberia makes up more than three-quarters of Russia’s landmass, with average temperatures below freezing, while 50% is forest and 11% is tundra, a bleak and treeless, marshy plain.

Russia’s future economy will depend on energy prices and exchange rates, both of which collapsed in 2014: Russia is the world’s largest producer of oil, second only to America in gas production. Oil and gas account for 70% of export revenues and government spending is hugely dependent on them.

Read more: The Future of Russia - and it's 160 tribes. Russia's past is key to it's future. Economy, foreign policy, future relationship with EU and America -geopolitical keynote speaker

   

How to slow down or reverse ageing - and future life expectancy. Impact on health care, demographics, life insurance and pensions - health care keynote speaker

Future generations will treat ageing as a disease. The life of every reader of this web page has increased by an average of 15 minutes in the last hour – the pattern in many nations of the world over the last two decades, in people with reasonable education and wealth. 

Take London, for example, where average life expectancy increased by a year between 2004–10, both for those at birth, and for those aged 65.  We have seen similar things in Japan and Germany. In many emerging nations, life expectancy is improving even faster. But what about the next 50‒100 years? 

Expect Ageing Immortalists to grow in number: wealthy people obsessed with living forever. These are people who dream of being able to improve their own life expectancy by more than a year, with every year that passes.
Scientists have already produced mice that live to the human equivalent of 160 years and earthworms that live to the equivalent of 500 years. The gene activated in long-living worms is the same one often found in people who live until at least 100. Scientists at Harvard Medical School reversed the ageing process in mice by increasing levels of NAD protein. This protein restores communication between DNA in the nucleus of a cell and the DNA in the mitochondria.

Here is the truth about life expectancy, and why there has been collusion by governments and corporations to underplay the situation. Every time you add a year to the expected life of an individual, you add over 3% to their pension deficit. So adding 5 years to projections can wipe out the entire reserves of many large corporations, or make government liabilities soar.

Read more: How to slow down or reverse ageing - and future life expectancy. Impact on health care, demographics, life insurance and pensions - health care keynote speaker

   

Future of Genetics Research and impact on Pharma / Biotech - genetic engineering, genetic prophecy, customised medicine, personalised treatments, redesigning life - Biotech Keynote Speaker

We have entered the Age of the Gene, as I predicted in The Genetic Revolution (1993). Humankind now has the power to redesign the very basis of life itself, and to create a new super-race of people with enhanced DNA. It is impossible to overstate the long term significance of this, which is the basis of transhumanism.

Ability to read your genetic code (genome): It took $3bn and 15 years of work to decode a single genome, a cost which has already fallen to around $1000.  By 2025, it is likely that doctors will be able to read an individual’s genetic code in less than 2 hours for less than $500, enabling us to predict our medical future with far greater accuracy – comparing patterns of genomes, medical records and lifestyle data.

Expect gene readers on devices as small as today’s USB sticks by 2040, taking 30 minutes to decode each strip of genetic code. Gene screening will be free for many people within 20 years, paid for by pharmacies for loyal customers, or by companies wanting to protect employee health, or by insurance companies and governments

Read more: Future of Genetics Research and impact on Pharma / Biotech - genetic engineering, genetic prophecy, customised medicine, personalised treatments, redesigning life - Biotech Keynote Speaker

   

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