Government, Politics, Democracy, War

Future of Artificial intelligence - discussion on AI opportunities and Artificial Intelligence threats. From AI predictions to Artificial Intelligence control of our world. What is the risk of AI destroying our world? Truth about Artificial Intelligence

Future of Sales and Marketing in 2030: physical audience of 800 + 300 virtual at hybrid event. Digital marketing / AI, location marketing. How to create MAGIC in new marketing campaigns. Future of Marketing Keynote Speaker

TRUST is the most important thing you sell. Even more TRUE for every business because of AI. How to BUILD TRUST, win market share, retain contracts, gain customers. Future logistics and supply chain management. Futurist Keynote Speaker

How to make virtual keynotes more real and engaging - how I appeared as an "avatar" on stage when I broke my ankle and could not fly to give opening keynote on innovation in aviation for. ZAL event in Hamburg

"I'm doing a new book" - 60 seconds to make you smile. Most people care about making a difference, achieving great things, in a great team but are not interested in growth targets. Over 270,000 views of full leadership keynote for over 4000 executives

Futurist Keynote Speakers - how Futurist Keynotes transform events, change thinking, enlarge vision, sharpen strategic thinking, identify opportunities and risks. Patrick Dixon is one of the world's best known Futurist Keynote Speaker

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Colonies on Mars, space travel and how digital / Artificial Intelligence / AI will help us live decades longer - comment before keynote for 1400 at Avnet Silica event

Future of Travel and Tourism post COVID. Boom for live experiences beyond AI. What hunger for "experience" means for future aviation, airlines, hotels, restaurants, concerts halls, trends in leisure events, theme parks. Travel Industry Keynote Speaker

Quiet Quitters: 50% US workforce wish they were working elsewhere. How engage Quiet Quitters and transform to highly engaged team members. Why AI / Artificial Intelligence is not answer. How to tackle the Great Resignation. Human Resources Keynote Speaker

The Great Resignation. 50% of US workers are Quiet Quitters. They have left in their hearts, don't believe any longer in your strategy. 40% want to leave in 12 months. Connect with PURPOSE to win Quiet Quitters. Human Resources Keynote Speaker

Future of Human Resources. Virtual working, motivating hybrid teams, management, future of motivation and career development. How to develop high performance teams. HR Keynote Speaker

Speed of change often slower than people expect! I have successfully forecast major trends for global companies for over 25 years. Focus on factors driving long term changes, with agile strategies for inevitable disruptive events. Futurist Keynote Speaker

Agile leadership for Better Risk Management. Inflation spike in 2022-3 - what next? Expect more disruptive events, while megatrends will continue relentlessly to shape longer term future globally in relatively predictable ways. Futurist Keynote Speaker

Crazy customers! Changing customer expectations. Why many decisions are irrational. Amusing stories. Lessons for Leadership, Management and Marketing - Futurist Keynote Speaker VIDEO

Chances of 2 people in 70 having same birthday? Managing Risk in Banking and Financial Services. Why the greatest risks are combinations of very unlikely events, which happen far more often than you expect. Keynote speaker on risk management

Compliance is Dead. How to build trust. Reputation of banks and financial services. Compliance Risks. Why 100% compliance with regulations, ESG requirements etc is often not enough to prevent reputational damage

Life's too short to do things you don't believe in! Why passionate belief in the true value of what you are selling or doing is the number one key to success. Secret of all leadership and marketing - keynote for 1100 people in Vilnius October 2021

Future Manufacturing 5.0. Lessons from personal life for all manufacturers - why most manufacturing lags 10-15 years behind client expectations in their day to day life. Manufacturing 4.0 --> Manufacturing 5.0. Future of Manufacturing Keynote

80% of sales are won or lost in 3 seconds, How to grow your business by giving attention to small things that really matter. Future of Marketing, Futuris Keynote Speaker - Pardavimu formule in Vilnius

Trust is the Most Important Thing You Sell. Managing your Reputational Risk - vital lessons for all leaders. How to build trust with key customers and markets. Futurist Keynote Speaker

Future of GeoPolitics, Democracy, Government, Activism, Conflict, Hybrid Wars in a world dominated by AI

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Government, Politics, Democracy, War - Future

Articles, videos and conference keynote presentations on future of geopolitics, government, democracy, local and regional governance, public sector workers, inward investment, single issue activism, conflicts, hybrid wars and related issues, in a world increasingly dominated by AI / Artificial Intelligence. Patrick Dixon is one of the world's best-known Futurist keynote speakers, has worked with hundreds of the world's largest companies, many governments and non-profits, and has been ranked one of the 20 most influential business thinkers alive today. Clients include hundreds of the world's largest multinationals, as well as World Bank, UNIDO, UNAIDS, European Commission, US Federal Government (Pentagon), Abu Dhabi Police Authority, UK Department of Trade and Industry, Irish government, South Korea Ministry of Knowledge and Economy, Jebel Ali Free Zone (UAE), Kazakhstan government, Lithuanian government, Portuguese government, State of Connecticut, Welsh Assembly, UK Parliament, London Connect. Patrick Dixon has given Futurist keynotes on issues related to public policy, to audiences in North America, Central America, Latin America, Western Europe, Central Europe, Eastern Europe, Baltic States, Scandinavia, Africa, Central Asia, South East Asia and Asia Pacific.

Queen Elizabeth II: the power of example over a lifetime. Lessons for all great leaders. Why her impact on our future world will be so long lasting. Example is the only form of leadership that endures, because it is based on integrity and authenticity

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Government, Politics, Democracy, War - Future

The impact of the reign of Queen Elizabeth II, and of her leadership example, will be very long lasting, because she became one of the most trusted and respected figureheads on the world stage, as well as in her own nation. Her life was rooted in a deep sense of public duty, and a commitment to a life of public service, which was forced upon her by circumstance.

Hundreds of millions of words have already been written about her life, but the most powerful perhaps were spoken....

Russian military strategy in Ukraine under pressure. Longer term impact of military action / war on energy industry, wider economy and other geopolitical risks. Patrick Dixon is a Futurist Keynote Speaker

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Government, Politics, Democracy, War - Future

Geopolitical, energy industry and wider economy risks following Russia invasion of Ukraine. Comment during keynote at Seminarium event in Santiago, Chile.

* "Life with AI - How to survive and succeed in a super-smart world" - Patrick Dixon's latest book on AI is published in September 2024 by Profile Books. It contains 38 chapters on the impact of AI across different industries, government and our wider world, including chapters on the future impact of AI on energy markets, defence, war and national security.

Future of War: defence spending by superpowers, hybrid conflicts, space weapons, new nuclear risks, AI / Artificial Intelligence, satellite wars, military drones, robot fighters, future arms industry. Assymetric threats and terrorism, failed states

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Government, Politics, Democracy, War - Future

Extract from The Future of Almost Everything book - written 2019.

More than $1.8 trillion is spent every year on weapons and other defence costs, or 2.5% of global GDP, down from 4% in the last days of the Cold War, equivalent to $250 per person on earth. Combined sales of the largest 100 arms companies is around $320bn a year. However, 40% of all global military spending is by one nation alone: America, which burns up more in this way than the next 15 highest-spending nations combined. This is a truly spectacular imbalance of military fire-power, and will be unsustainable in the longer term, as we will see. Next is China with 9.5% of global military spending, followed by Russia at 5.2%, UK 3.5% and Japan 3.4%.

America needs to spend just 3% of GDP on arms to achieve such dominance – compared to Russia, which today spends 4% of a much smaller economy, China 2%, India 2%, UK 2%, France 2%, Israel 6%, Saudi Arabia 9% and Oman 12%. This relentless build-up of ultra-powerful weaponry will continue to feed tension, resentment and fear over the next two decades. America’s army, navy and air force will be dominant globally for the next 15‒20 years, despite rapidly increasing military budgets in Russia and China.

* "Life with AI - How to survive and succeed in a super-smart world" - Patrick Dixon's latest book on AI is published in September 2024 by Profile Books. It contains 38 chapters on the impact of AI across different industries, government and our wider world, including the impact of AI on defence, war, battle strategies and autonomous weapons.

Why future wars will be radically different: Hybrid Conflicts, Civil Chaos, AI-linked Cyberattacks, Border Disputes. Impact on defence spending, Superpowers Military Strategy - keynote speaker - FEATURE

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Government, Politics, Democracy, War - Future

A few years ago, I gave a lecture to the Pentagon (USPACOM), on how to reduce risks of future wars and reduce international tensions. It was one of the toughest assignments I can remember.

Our world spends over $1.8 trillion every year on weapons and other defence costs, or 2.5% of global GDP, down from 4% in the last days of the Cold War, equivalent to $250 per person on earth. Combined sales of the largest 100 arms companies is around $320 billion a year - yet most of it is completely irrelevant to the conflicts of the future.

40% of all global military spending is by one nation alone: America, which burns up more in this way than the next 15 highest-spending nations combined. This is a truly spectacular imbalance of military fire-power, and will be unsustainable in the longer term as we will see. America only needs to spend 3% of GDP on arms to achieve such dominance – compared to Russia which today spends 4% of a much smaller economy, China 2%, India 2%, UK 2%, France 2%, Israel 6%, Saudi Arabia 9% and Oman 12%.... But how do we ensure world peace?....

Risk of Russia war with NATO. Russia's past is key to it's military future. War and Russian economy, Russian foreign policy and political aspirations, future relationship between Russia, China, EU, NATO and America - geopolitical risks keynote speaker

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Government, Politics, Democracy, War - Future

20 March 2024 comment on post below: We are now only one step from NATO formally declaring war against Russia. That step would be a military action by Russia against a NATO member. But how likely is this?

Our world is facing the greatest geopolitical risks we have seen for over 40 years, with an ongoing war in Eastern Europe, conflict in the Middle East and major tensions over the future of Taiwan.

The Second World War showed us how a war in one region can make other conflicts more likely, because different nations start seeing opportunities of their own in the midst of regional and global chaos.

History shows that the ability of dictators to start new wars is directly related to the political power they have. And President Putin's power base in Russia is now stronger than before the invasion of Ukraine, while his ambition continues to grow to expand the territory that Russia controls.

The more powerful a dictator becomes, by definition, the quieter the voices of dissent around them, the more feeble the challenges to any unrealistic ambitions. Powerful dictators risk loosing their grip on practical realities (eg actual military strength) because those around them are often too afraid to tell them the truth. P

Europe / NATO is therefore at great risk of a further miscalculation / gamble by President Putin, emboldened by a distorted view of the wider world, by lack of internal threats to his power, by mobilisation of his nation to a wartime economy, and by what he believes is fading support for Ukraine in the US.

Set against this is the fact that Russian military strength has been weakened in the last two years.

In comparison, NATO / Western Europe can hardly find enough ammunition to supply half of Ukraine's front-line needs, has been very slow to ramp up defence spending, has a poorly defined nuclear weapons strategy, and is in no fit state to go to war against Russia.

A single new military action by President Putin could be enough to trigger war with NATO, with potential for vast destruction across Western, Eastern and Central Europe - even assuming that no nuclear weapons are fired.

The most effective way to reduce this risk is for Europe / NATO to rapidly mobilise for outright war, as a preventative measure, but this is currently happening at a very slow pace.

Manufacturing of new weaponry is painfully slow, and EU nations have hardly woken up to the wartime realities which will mean diverting major spending from other important areas such as health care, and increasing government debt.

Expect EU / NATO to accelerate military spending, with many nations budgeting 2% of GDP, some like Poland far more, by 2027, partly because of pressures from the US to honour NATO-related pledges.

Expect many corporations to continue to shorten supply chains to minimise risk, sourcing within regions rather than across the world.

11 July 2022 note on post below: History shows that small conflicts often trigger wider ones which is what is happening. Hundreds of companies cancelled Russian business contracts or exited operations altogether from Russia within days and weeks of the invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, but wider factors remain far more important from the global point of view.

On the one hand, the Russian economy was in any case smaller than Spain before the invasion, and will continue to shrink rapidly during the rest of 2022 and into 2023. Yet on the other hand, it has a huge old-fashioned military able to create First World War type regional destruction on a massive scale - without using nuclear devices. Sadly it can cost a mere $100,000 to blow up a 1000 year old building, but $500m to rebuild and restore (and nothing can replace the original history).

So Russia is not an economic superpower able to sustain a massive war for a long period without financial catastrophe. Nor does Russia have the economic, military or organisational power to subdue and control 40 million angry and bitter Ukrainians....

What will be President Trump's longer term impact on America, global politics, news reporting, future of democracy itself. Why he fits many predictions I made and what is likely to happen next to political leadership globally. FEATURE

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Government, Politics, Democracy, War - Future

President Trump is very typical of a new generation of "single-issues politicians", rising up around the world as I predicted years ago (article written September 2018)

He thrives on the elusive powers of 24 hours a day media-streaming of his thoughts and feelings, taps into populist emotions, connects with the passions of ordinary people, expresses very well their fears for their own future, as well as their dreams for their own children.

A part of this has been the powerful slogan: "Make America Great Again", which feeds into deep unease about the declining role, influence and economic powers of America as a proportion of the whole world. This in turn is being driven by the very long term, irresistible and relentless rise in emerging nations, where 85% of humanity already live.

Leaving aside whatever you may feel about President Trump's official, longer term policies, the truth is that his day to day communications and actions are massively different from what is normally expected in developed nations of their own Presidents or Prime Ministers, and are much more typical in some ways of patterns that we tend to see amongst semi-dictators in emerging markets....

Why Trump Won - how tribalism will dominate the future of democracy: and why President Trump will struggle to deliver

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Government, Politics, Democracy, War - Future

Reasons for the US election victory of Donald Trump will be debated for decades. Here are major long-term factors at work across America and in every other democratic nation, which I described in The Future of Almost Everything - my latest book, see below, (with additions in italics today). These set the backdrop for dramatic events over the last few hours (9 November 2016), and also influenced the Brexit vote. Read on for" What happens when faith in ideologies and parties dies; why tribalism is the most powerful force in the world today; why President Trump will struggle to deliver.

Here Comes Radical Change: Future of Public Services, Demographics -- Keynote Speaker

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Government, Politics, Democracy, War - Future

Patrick Dixon -- conference keynote speaker -- impact of demographics, birth rates, youth, urban migration and immigration, life expectancy forecasts. All impact demand for public services, health care budgets, community services, demand for education...

Social networks impact on democracy, dictatorships and freedom of information

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Government, Politics, Democracy, War - Future

democracy and democratic pressures from social networks. Cover ups and government deceptions, impact of wikileaks on government internal communications and policies. Freedom of information and corruption. Politics and political change. Impact of SMS, twitter, Linkedin, Facebook, Youtube and other social networks on dictatorships v democracy. How dictators fear loss of political power from freedom of information. Use of mobile technology, smart phones and other communication devices to drive protests and public disorder. How governments and dictatorships have switched off mobile telephones and SMS, web ...

Future of Conflicts

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Government, Politics, Democracy, War - Future

Preventing Future Conflicts - with special reference to Asia Pacific. Keynote address for 500 US military (US Pentagon Pacific Command senior leadership) and guests.

Radical Activists: How aggressive passion in tiny numbers of people will change our world and impact of terrorism.

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Government, Politics, Democracy, War - Future

Radical political forces, activism, terrorism and single issues. Carbon trading? Global warming? Environment? Discrimination and social justice?

Democracy what kind of system is best? Are other systems of government more appropriate in some emerging economies? Different systems of democracy.

How democracy could work for a global government based loosely around the UN United Nations. Should the majority global population have power to alter how the global village is run ...

Dictatorships and Revolution in Digital Age: People Power after Tunisia, Egypt, Libya

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Government, Politics, Democracy, War - Future

What next after Tunisia, Libya, Egypt? Impact of SMS, twitter, Linkedin, Facebook, Youtube and other social networks on dictatorships v democracy in Middle East and across the world. How Africa, Arab and Asia dictators fear loss of political power from freedom of information.

Use of mobile technology, smart phones and other communication devices to drive protests and public disorder. How governments and dictatorships have switched off mobile telephones and SMS, web access etc to maintain political control. How power is shifting from government leaders, ...

Democracy: is democracy always best form of government?

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Government, Politics, Democracy, War - Future

Democratic models of government may not always be best. Risks from trying to impose a Western developed nation model on rest of world. Need to respect different political traditions, forms of government and cultural differences. Seeking to impose democratic system can be seen as form of cultural imperialism.

Where the majority of the country favour a particular radical direction, democratic elections may result in governments and policies that are more extreme than the dictators that were replaced.

UK ELECTION: Future Politics / Democracy. Crisis Trust.

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Government, Politics, Democracy, War - Future

Future of democracy, politics, political parties and lobbying in a world which no longer trusts politicians and cannot be bothered (often) to vote.

Crisis of confidence in Westminster, UK mother of all democratic Parliaments, also in America, Greece, Portugal, Spain, France, Italy, Ukraine and other nations.

Expenses scandal and challenges also in European Commission. Bribery and corruption in political life. Future of politics and political parties.

Comment by Dr Patrick Dixon author of The Truth about Westminster, and conference keynote speaker. ...

Truth about Westminster: UK political scandal over MP expenses

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Government, Politics, Democracy, War - Future

Comment by Patrick Dixon, author of The Truth about Westminster on MP expense scandal and revelations about alleged corruption among MPs, wrong claims in House of Commons.

Future of Westminster and UK democracy.

Public opinion of members of parliament.

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