Deflation and Inflation – Winners and Losers - future of banking keynote speaker

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

Video recorded June 2008 - but article below written March 2009 - highly relevant 14 years later as one of the factors which led to inflationary spike - because banks had such a fear of inflation during COVID pandemic, that they erred on the side of over-stimulation.

I have in my pocket a $10 trillion dollar bill – printed in Zimbabwe a few weeks ago, but when I was there, not enough to buy half a loaf of bread. Country hit by inflation running of 1 billion % a year. Zimbabwe experience puts global economic crisis into context.  I'm a Futurist, an advisor to many of the world's largest banks on global trends, and a keynote speaker at many of their most important events.

At a time of global fears about inflation (2007-8) and deflation (2009) it is good to look at the wider picture, why life will continue relatively unchanged for most people, why we are likely to see inflation become a major problem again, and why we are likely to see political instability in some nations, and even fall of governments.

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Trends and Countertrends - Futurist Tools to help predict future

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

To every trend there is a countertrend, which is why media pundits are able at once to describe, for example, trends to greater liberalism and greater conservatism. Both are true - of different tribes in the same society. So gay rights movements continue to make advances at the same time as America is becoming gripped by cultural con¬servatism, with ideas such as marriage, religion and civil society seen as the answer for the future....

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Credit Crunch, Economic Crisis and Possible Recession

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

Managing Uncertainty - Leadership Strategies.  Client event for HR directors and Finance directors of large multinationals (for Hewitt).  How to survive the credit crunch.  making sense of confusing radar signals. Focus on what matters.  Managing risk. Seizing opportunity with agile leadership, scenario planning, dynamic strategy and bold cost cutting - reshaping for future growth.  Longer term outlook for global economy. Credit crunch rescue package explained.  How to motivate teams through the crisis - engagement with passion and purpose.  Keys to keeping teams together and strong during rapid mergers and acquisitions.  See also videos on credit crunch impact for business and leadership strategy and videos on banking  trends.  Also videos on risk  management and leadership  videos.

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Growing Reaction Against Globalisation - Futurist Keynote Speaker

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

Reactions against globalisation will threaten international trade and economic growt. Expect calls to grow for trade barriers in some nations, with retaliation by others. Despite these things, expect huge growth in volume and value of imported or exported goods and services, especially between emerging economies such as India or China.

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Sustainable growth - happynomics - key trends

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

Inside the mind of a post-millennialist...  Can we survive another hundred years of increasingly rapid change? What about another thousand years? Could this be the last millennium?  Economic growth is at the centre of every government strategy, yet in the third millennium expect that economic growth as a goal will be increasingly questioned. Growth means more things, greater wealth, but does it mean greater happiness?

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Future Inflation or deflation? Economic Outlook Europe / US

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

April 2010 Economic outlook - inflation or deflation. Inflationary pressures on many national economies following fiscal stimulus and growth of consumer demand. Government action to prevent deflation makes inflation more likely in short to medium term. Why deflationary forces so feared by governments and corporations. Future interest rates and GDP growth impact on manufacturing, industry. Business cycles and where they are likely to go next. Preparing for a boom followed by a downturn. How to make money out of business cycles. Economic forecasts and projections ...

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When will global economy recover? FUTURIST Q&A

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

Qs to www.twitter.com/patrickdixon When will global economy recover? Most senior executives of large corporations expect that global recovery will be by 2011 at lastest, yet most strategic planning is still to do with managing economic downturn. Expect inflation to rise as we head into later 2010. Comment in April 2009 by keynote conference speaker and Futurist Patrick Dixon

See more from: Patrick Dixon on YouTube

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Future of the global economy after 'reset' May 2009

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

Global economic outlook - inflation, deflation and other expectations. Comment in response to qs via Twitter - by Futurist Patrick Dixon

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Government Debt: Tolerance of Higher Inflation - strategy to Reduce Huge Liabilities. Impact on Economy / Banking. Futurist Keynote Speaker

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

While governments talked of their fear of deflation in 2008-2010, pouring trillions of dollars into the global economy, there is another reason why some governments may want to encourage slightly higher inflation.

High inflation wipes out government debt.

For example, if future inflation stabilises at 5% above the interest rate payable to the bond owner, the value of the debt will halve over 15 years. Impact on future of banking.

Read more: Government Debt: Tolerance of Higher Inflation - strategy to Reduce Huge Liabilities. Impact on Economy / Banking. Futurist Keynote Speaker

When will global economy recover? FUTURIST Q&A

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

Qs to www.twitter.com When will global economy recover? Most senior executives of large corporations expect that global recovery will be by 2011 at lastest, yet most strategic planning is still to do with managing economic downturn. Expect inflation to rise as we head into later 2010. Comment in April 2009 by keynote conference speaker and Futurist Patrick Dixon

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Scenarios: multiple strategies in rapidly changing world

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

Multiple scenarios and scenario development to test business strategy. Need more than one strategy in rapidly changing world where events happen faster than you can organise a board meeting. Scenario building techniques. Forecasting and trend analysis. Use people outside organisation for external view to test strategy.

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Future of Euro Zone Euro break up. Crisis and what next

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

Future of Euro and eurozone nations. Future impact on banking, banks, sovereign debt. Government insolvency, economic stimulus programs. How Euro crisis will unfold. Impact on jobs, deflation, inflation, imports, exports, manufacturing and other industry trends. Pension funds, sovereign wealth funds and demand for government bonds. Cutting government borrowing to meet market demand, analyst action. Impact on unemployment, social unrest, political change and national stability. Economic forecasts with devaluation following ejection from euro. Future of Ireland. Spain, Portugal, Italy, Germany, France and UK. Interest rate ...

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How to grow your business targeting demographics - impact on growth strategy - VIDEO

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

Demographics impact on business growth strategy, sales of product, customer demand.

Number of customers in each market, niche markets, targeting client groups. How demographics has impacted the pensions industry, life products, sales in Europe, UK, Spain, Japan, Latin America, Brazil, Mexico, Argentina.

Low birth rate in China and high birth rate in India means different societies, different sales patterns. Young or old populations, population growth -- all these things profoundly affect your business....

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Making sense of the 2007-2015 economic crisis - what next? Look back from 2100 - VIDEO

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Posts, Slides, Videos - Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker

When historians look back in 100 years time – what will they make of the sub-prime crisis and all that followed?

What links will they make between the rise of China as a mega-industrial nation, buying huge amounts of dollars, keeping their own currency low, and costs of borrowing low for developed nations.

Of course we are talking about a wider issue than China, but China is a dominant force in this regard.

Think about the future as history....

Read more: Making sense of the 2007-2015 economic crisis - what next? Look back from 2100 - VIDEO