Future of Rail: trends in rail passengers, rail freight, railway innovation - Rail Trends Keynote

Future of the Auto Industry - mega trends impacting the auto industry. Futurist Keynote for Belron

How to make virtual keynotes more real and engaging - how I appeared as an "avatar" on stage when I broke my ankle and could not fly to give opening keynote on innovation in aviation for. ZAL event in Hamburg

"I'm doing a new book" - 60 seconds to make you smile. Most people care about making a difference, achieving great things, in a great team but are not interested in growth targets. Over 270,000 views of full leadership keynote for over 4000 executives

Futurist Keynote Speakers - how Futurist Keynotes transform events, change thinking, enlarge vision, sharpen strategic thinking, identify opportunities and risks. Patrick Dixon is one of the world's best known Futurist Keynote Speaker

Futurist Keynote Speaker: Colonies on Mars, space travel and how digital will help us live decades longer - comment before keynote for 1400 at Avnet Silica event

Future of Travel and Tourism after COVID. Boom for live experiences. What this means for future of aviation, airlines, hotels, restaurants, concerts halls, trends in leisure events, theme parks. Travel Industry Keynote Speaker

Quiet Quitters: 50% US workforce wish they were working elsewhere. How engage Quiet Quitters and transform to highly engaged team members. How to tackle the Great Resignation. Human Resources Keynote Speaker

The Great Resignation. 50% of US workers are Quiet Quitters. They have left in their hearts, don't believe any longer in your strategy. 40% want to leave in 12 months. Connect with PURPOSE to win Quiet Quitters. Human Resources Keynote Speaker

Future of Human Resources, virtual working, hybrid teams, motivation, management, future of motivation and career development. How to develop high performance teams. HR Keynote Speaker

Speed of change often slower than people expect! I have successfully forecast major trends for global companies for over 25 years. Focus on factors driving long term changes, with agile strategies for inevitable disruptive events. Futurist Keynote Speaker

Agile leadership for Better Risk Management. Inflation spike in 2022-3 - what next? Expect more disruptive events, while megatrends will continue relentlessly to shape longer term future globally in relatively predictable ways. Futurist Keynote Speaker

Crazy customers! Changing customer expectations. Why many decisions are irrational. Amusing stories. Lessons for Leadership, Management and Marketing - Futurist Keynote Speaker VIDEO

TRUST is the most important thing you sell - TRUE for every business. How to BUILD TRUST, win market share, retain contracts, gain new customers. Future of logistics and supply chain management - Futurist Keynote Speaker

Future of Sales and Marketing beyond COVID - hybrid event in Vilnius: physical audience of 800 + 300 virtual. Digital marketing, location marketing. How to create MAGIC in new marketing campaigns. Future of Marketing Keynote Speaker

Chances of 2 people in 70 having same birthday? Managing Risk in Banking and Financial Services. Why the greatest risks are combinations of very unlikely events, which happen far more often than you expect. Keynote speaker on risk management

Compliance is Dead. How to build trust. Reputation of banks and financial services. Compliance Risks. Why 100% compliance with regulations, ESG requirements etc is often not enough to prevent reputational damage

Life's too short to do things you don't believe in! Why passionate belief in the true value of what you are selling or doing is the number one key to success. Secret of all leadership and marketing - keynote for 1100 people in Vilnius October 2021

Future Manufacturing 5.0. Lessons from personal life for all manufacturers - why most manufacturing lags 10-15 years behind client expectations in their day to day life. Manufacturing 4.0 --> Manufacturing 5.0. Future of Manufacturing Keynote

80% of sales are won or lost in 3 seconds, How to grow your business by giving attention to small things that really matter. Future of Marketing, Futuris Keynote Speaker - Pardavimu formule in Vilnius

Future of Fashion Industry, clothing and textiles. Why Male fashion will continue to change slowly, while female fashion will become more diverse and ethical: wages, factory conditions and environment / sustainability. Fashion Keynote speaker

The fashion industry has always been about tribes: what kind of person do you want to be? With whom are you identifying by the way you dress?  Expect hundreds more highly influential 16- or 17-year-olds, each with several million social network followers who read their blogs or tweets or watch their videos, to follow suit. That's regardless of how they buy: online or at a traditional store, beyond COVID.  

The fashion and textiles industries are worth over $1.8 trillion, growing 5% a year, employing 75 million people. At present 50% of global growth in apparel sales is in China, which has overtaken the US as the largest market. But prices globally have been falling in real terms for two decades, and will continue to do so as scale increases.

In the US, the industry employs 4 million people, in 280,000 outlets for clothes and shoes. I met an American cotton manufacturer recently who makes 1,400 pairs of socks every minute. Fashion is worth over $40bn a year to the UK economy, employing over 800,000 people – more than telcos, car manufacturing and publishing combined.

Read more: Future of Fashion Industry, clothing and textiles. Why Male fashion will continue to change slowly, while female fashion will become more diverse and ethical: wages, factory conditions and environment / sustainability. Fashion Keynote speaker

 

Future of War: defence spending by superpowers, hybrid conflicts, space weapons, new nuclear risks, next global arms race, satellite wars, military drones, robot fighters, future arms industry. Assymetric threats and terrorism, dealing with failed states

Extract from The Future of Almost Everything book - written 2019.  

More than $1.8 trillion is spent every year on weapons and other defence costs, or 2.5% of global GDP, down from 4% in the last days of the Cold War, equivalent to $250 per person on earth. Combined sales of the largest 100 arms companies is around $320bn a year. However, 40% of all global military spending is by one nation alone: America, which burns up more in this way than the next 15 highest-spending nations combined. This is a truly spectacular imbalance of military fire-power, and will be unsustainable in the longer term, as we will see. Next is China with 9.5% of global military spending, followed by Russia at 5.2%, UK 3.5% and Japan 3.4%.

America needs to spend just 3% of GDP on arms to achieve such dominance – compared to Russia, which today spends 4% of a much smaller economy, China 2%, India 2%, UK 2%, France 2%, Israel 6%, Saudi Arabia 9% and Oman 12%. This relentless build-up of ultra-powerful weaponry will continue to feed tension, resentment and fear over the next two decades. America’s army, navy and air force will be dominant globally for the next 15‒20 years, despite rapidly increasing military budgets in Russia and China.

Read more: Future of War: defence spending by superpowers, hybrid conflicts, space weapons, new nuclear risks, next global arms race, satellite wars, military drones, robot fighters, future arms industry. Assymetric threats and terrorism, dealing with failed states

   

How to slow down or reverse ageing - and future life expectancy. 8 mechanisms of ageing, anti-aging medicine, anti-senescence to improve human lifespan. Impact on health care, demographics, life insurance and pensions - health care keynote speaker

While our world has been battling COVID and remains threatened by other potential viral pandemics, future generations will treat ageing as a disease. The life of every reader of this web page has increased by an average of 15 minutes in the last hour – the pattern in many nations of the world over the last two decades, in people with reasonable education and wealth. 

Take London, for example, where average life expectancy increased by a year between 2004–10, both for those at birth, and for those aged 65.  We have seen similar things in Japan and Germany. In many emerging nations, life expectancy is improving even faster. But what about the next 50‒100 years? 

Read more: How to slow down or reverse ageing - and future life expectancy. 8 mechanisms of ageing, anti-aging medicine, anti-senescence to improve human lifespan. Impact on health care, demographics, life insurance and pensions - health care keynote speaker

   

Future of Genetics Research and impact on Pharma / Biotech and health care - genetic engineering, genetic prophecy in health diagnostics, customised medicine, personalised health treatments, redesigning life to enhance performance. Biotech Keynote Speaker

The COVID pandemic massively accelerated pharma and biotech innovation - every aspect from drug discovery to recruitment for clinical trials. And in all this frenetic innovation, we have entered the Age of the Gene, as I predicted decades ago in The Genetic Revolution (1993). Humankind now has the power to redesign the very basis of life itself, and to create a new super-race of people with enhanced DNA. It is impossible to overstate the long term significance of this, which is the basis of transhumanism.

Ability to read your genetic code (genome): It took $3bn and 15 years of work to decode a single genome, a cost which has already fallen to around $1000.  By 2025, it is likely that doctors will be able to read an individual’s genetic code in less than 2 hours for less than $500, enabling us to predict our medical future with far greater accuracy – comparing patterns of genomes, medical records and lifestyle data.

Expect gene readers on devices as small as today’s USB sticks by 2040, taking 30 minutes to decode each strip of genetic code. Gene screening will be free for many people within 20 years, paid for by pharmacies for loyal customers, or by companies wanting to protect employee health, or by insurance companies and governments

Read more: Future of Genetics Research and impact on Pharma / Biotech and health care - genetic engineering, genetic prophecy in health diagnostics, customised medicine, personalised health treatments, redesigning life to enhance performance. Biotech Keynote Speaker

   

Future of Cities Globally and Construction Industry trends - and UK property market trends. Zero carbon homes, offices and infrastructure. Modern Methods of Construction, offsite modular construction, impact of digital tools. Construction Keynote speaker

Despite all the real estate booms and busts that we will see in major cities around the world over the next three decades, more than $100 trillion dollars will be added in real terms to the total value of global real estate, from $228 trillion in 2017 to 2035, simply because cities are expanding, economies are growing, and numbers of middle-class property owners are rising. And the COVID pandemic did not alter that trend, despite all the media hype.

Globalised travellers will remain near airport hubs. Beyond the impact of COVID in 2020-2021 onwards, all globalised executives will continue to need to be close to a large international airport, however virtual their teams. This ‘hub effect’ will also be true of high-speed trains. There is simply no substitute for "breathing the same air" when it comes to landing new contracts, or managing complex operations in other nations.

Those who are fed up with city life can afford the luxury of bucking the trend, going ‘back to nature’, getting out of cities for a greener life, greater security, lower costs. However, the wealthiest will just live in both, with two, three, ten or twenty homes. An increasing number of super-wealthy will have private helicopters and planes that link their offices, homes, hotels and holidays direct.

Future of the UK property market - 15 reasons for long term investment returns: UK property prices will be linked to the future of London, Manchester, Edinburgh, Glasgow and other major cities. As I predicted many years ago and more recently real estate has remained a good long-term investment, despite the 2008-9 crash for 15 reasons...

Read more: Future of Cities Globally and Construction Industry trends - and UK property market trends. Zero carbon homes, offices and infrastructure. Modern Methods of Construction, offsite modular construction, impact of digital tools. Construction Keynote speaker

   

The Truth about BitCoin Crisisfor secure payments - A single BitCoin payment uses as much power as your home in a week. Blockchain sustainability issues. Shocking truth on BitCoin carbon emissions - similar problems for all Blockchain sustainability

A single BitCoin transaction uses as much electricity as your home for a week.

Just as I predicted several years ago, we have seen billions won and lost in a gamble on volatile prices of BitCoin, without really understanding BitCoin limitations.

Here are some facts about BitCoin that will limit its future:

- It takes 94,000 kw hours at the time of writing to produce a single BitCoin

- 159 different nations use less power each year than BitCoin mining!

- That’s more power on this experiment last year than 2 billion of the poorest people used – 1 billion of which have no access to a national grid

- A single BitCoin transaction, logged in a BlockChain, burns up as much energy as your home for a week – so forget about using BitCoins as a global day-to-day currency

Read more: The Truth about BitCoin Crisisfor secure payments - A single BitCoin payment uses as much power as your home in a week. Blockchain sustainability issues. Shocking truth on BitCoin carbon emissions - similar problems for all Blockchain sustainability

   

Future of the Travel Industry after COVID - THE PARTY HAS BEGUN, future of aviation beyond COVID, what next for tourism and business? Why the travel industry will be an engine of global economic growth. Travel industry keynote speaker at Seminarium event

Futurist Keynote by Patrick Dixon at event for Seminarium in Chile

THE POST-COVID PARTY HAS BEGUN.  Update in July 2022 on this April 2021 travel industry forecast.  Paris is heaving with tourists, Barcelona the same, while many flights between Europe and the US are packed to bursting.

Along with manufacturing, retail and banking, the travel industry will be a fundamental engine of future globalisation, despite the huge impact of the COVID pandemic in 2020 and 2021 onwards. The reason is that human beings are genetically programmed to travel as hunter-gatherers, and have an irresistible urge to explore. (Written April 2021)

And as experience showed in 2020, whenever local, national or regional restrictions ease a little, huge numbers start booking trips almost immediately.  This will all be helped by global COVID passports - showing evidence of COVID infection in the past, or vaccination or very recent negative tests. Yes we can expect great debate about COVID passports: on the one hand COVID passports are a practical and common sense solution, allowing people who can prove they have immunity to travel or attend major events etc.  

Just as I predicted in April 2021, we are now seeing pent-up demand, as people look to spend more than usual on holidays using saved up budgets during lockdown.

Therefore, whatever happens in the current pandemic, to the global economy, or in other world events, in general terms over the next 30 years we can expect the number of people travelling each day to grow dramatically as wealth increases, and as real costs of transport continue to fall.

Consider this: 85% of humanity lives in emerging markets, and most people in the world are still dreaming of taking their first flight one day.The greatest growth in travel will be within Asia, and in people from Asia visiting outside their own region. We will see a rapid increase in the number and size of regional airports, high-speed rail networks, and new roads.

Read more: Future of the Travel Industry after COVID - THE PARTY HAS BEGUN, future of aviation beyond COVID, what next for tourism and business? Why the travel industry will be an engine of global economic growth. Travel industry keynote speaker at Seminarium event

   

Future of Law Firms, Accountancy, Auditing and Global Consulting Companies, Professional Service Firms. Future of government regulation on professional services. Why compliance is dead except to keep people out of prison. Focus on Ethics - Keynote speaker

There are very few global consulting and accounting firms, and this is already causing big problems for regulators, unhappy when the same companies audit the same accounts for years. We should be worried when auditors are from the same organisation as consultants, when huge companies find members of their teams on both sides of complex deals. It is hardly surprising that so many audits of multinationals have turned out to be so misleading to investors.

Arthur Andersen disappeared almost overnight as a result of the Enron scandal, and it will only take one more such event to create a crisis, because only three global firms would remain. Expect further regulations about companies needing to change their auditors every few years, and more restrictions on conflicts of interest.

As I predicted, Auditors are becoming more strictly audited themselves regarding their own performance.  Auditors will increasingly be held legally responsible when banks or insurers or other types of company fail spectacularly, soon after a clean audit. It is outrageous that global auditors have been able to walk away without penalty, from large companies that collapse, only days or weeks after being paid hundreds of thousands of dollars to vet them for accounting irregularities and risks.

Read more: Future of Law Firms, Accountancy, Auditing and Global Consulting Companies, Professional Service Firms. Future of government regulation on professional services. Why compliance is dead except to keep people out of prison. Focus on Ethics - Keynote speaker

   

Future of the insurance industry - insurance will be vital to economic growth.Huge growth in emerging markets driven by 85% of the world who have no insurance of any kind. Managing insurance risks with better underwriting. Insurance trends keynote speaker

I have advised many of the world's largest insurers and reinsurance companies on managing risk and identifying key trends.

Insurance is as fundamental to a stable and prosperous society as banking, hospitals and schools.Y et more than 3 billion people have never heard of insurance, do not know how it works, and have no idea how to get hold of it.

Expect rapid growth, therefore, of basic insurance in emerging markets, targeted mainly at the emerging middle class.

Health insurance will lead the way, after insurance types that people are forced by law to buy, such as motor insurance. Expect a boost in many nations in sales of life or health products, encouraged by tax rebates, especially where they are structured to contain an element of saving.

Many who are unbanked today will gain their first insurance cover using a smartphone, or through micro-loans groups and savings associations.

Read more: Future of the insurance industry - insurance will be vital to economic growth.Huge growth in emerging markets driven by 85% of the world who have no insurance of any kind. Managing insurance risks with better underwriting. Insurance trends keynote speaker

   

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