Future Travel Keynote Speaker:Auto, Rail, Aviation
Futurist Keynote by Patrick Dixon at event for Seminarium in ChileUpdate in July 2022 on this April 2021 travel industry forecast. Paris is heaving with tourists, Barcelona the same, while many flights between Europe and the US are packed to bursting. As I predicted would happen, a rapid bounce-back has taken place.
Along with manufacturing, retail and banking, the travel industry will be a fundamental engine of future globalisation, despite the huge impact of the COVID pandemic in 2020 and 2021. The reason is that human beings are genetically programmed to travel as hunter-gatherers, and have an irresistible urge to explore. (Written April 2021)
And as experience showed in 2020, whenever local, national or regional restrictions ease a little, huge numbers started booking trips almost immediately. This was all helped by global COVID passports - showing evidence of COVID infection in the past, or vaccination or very recent negative tests.
Just as I predicted in April 2021, we are now seeing pent-up demand, as people look to spend more than usual on holidays using saved up budgets during lockdown.
Therefore, whatever happens in the current pandemic, to the global economy, or in other world events, in general terms over the next 30 years we can expect the number of people travelling each day to grow dramatically as wealth increases, and as real costs of transport continue to fall.
Consider this: 85% of humanity lives in emerging markets, and most people in the world are still dreaming of taking their first flight one day.The greatest growth in travel will be within Asia, and in people from Asia visiting outside their own region. We will see a rapid increase in the number and size of regional airports, high-speed rail networks, and new roads.
Read more: Future of the Travel Industry post COVID. Bounce-back as I predicted for Aviation. What next for tourism and business? Why the travel industry will be an engine of global economic growth. Impact of AI. Travel industry keynote speaker at Seminarium event
Future Trends, Economy, Markets, Keynote Speaker
July 2022First question: You warned many times over the last few years of the risks of a new viral pandemic. What do you think will happen next with COVID?
Yes. In The Future of Almost Everything for example, my 17th book published in 2019, I again warned of viral pandemic threats.
On page 19, I wrote a list of Wild Cards - top of which was ""Viral plaque - rapidly spreading, cases in every nation". Another on the list was "Miscalculation by a powerful nation leading to sustained regional conflict" - but that's another story.
I have been tracking many new mutant viruses for over three decades now and on average we see one every year, often emerging in the Far East for reasons we don't fully understand.When I was 30 years old, my work caring for those dying of cancer at home was suddenly overwhelmed by people dying from a new mutant virus that appeared from nowhere, having jumped from animals into humans. It was spreading fast, created massive fear and panic, with no vaccine or cure, and that virus has since killed 35 million people.Over 30 years later, despite vast research efforts we still have no vaccine nor a cure. That virus was HIV, causing AIDS.
So I have always worried that we would see more mutant viruses appear from nowhere and go global.
Read more: COVID, Russia, Energy Crisis, inflation spike, interest rate rises, AI impact on society - how many more shocks can we expect? What next? Interview with Futurist Keynote Speaker and Trends Analyst - Patrick Dixon